Yasmeen

Cambio climático y agricultura: un análisis sobre el impacto de las variables climáticas sobre el rendimiento agrícola peruano desde el 2015 al 2019

Master Thesis (in Spanish)

• Abstract: Climate change has various repercussions on economic activities, with agriculture being one of the most vulnerable sectors. Therefore, this study assesses the impact of climatic variables such as temperature, precipitation, and humidity on the agricultural yield of vulnerable species (coffee, cocoa, avocado, potato, and corn) in Peru from 2015 to 2019. A pooled panel model with fixed effects per district is used to analyze this impact. The data is sourced from the National Agricultural Survey (ENA, by its initials in Spanish) and the public platform of the National Meteorology and Hydrology Service of Peru (SENAMHI, by its initials in Spanish). The results reveal that the impact of climatic variables on Peruvian agricultural yield varies significantly depending on the crop type and natural region. Specifically, it is demonstrated that the climatic variables of minimum temperature and humidity are relevant for the majority of the crops, according to the analyzed region. Additionally, the study finds that avocado, potatoes, and cocoa are vulnerable crops to climate change. Regarding natural regions, Quechua is the most sensitive to variations in climatic variables.
• More information here.

• Book chapter in Spanish found in "Alimentemos el cambio: por una producción y un consumo sostenibles” edited by Schwalb-Helguero, M. & Higuchi, A.
• Available here.

• Paper presented in the XLIII Encontro da ANPAD - EnANPAD 2019 (Brazil).
• Available here.